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March 6, 2020 / JayMan

PSA

Millions of people are about to die in the coming weeks and months, protracted and painful deaths, unless the government steps up and acts NOW.

This is not hyperbole. I’m not exaggerating. Left unchecked, that will be the outcome of the COVID19 coronavirus pandemic in the U.S., as well as in many other countries across the world. We still have a chance to stop this, but if the response continues to be what the American government is doing, we’re in dire straits.

16 Comments

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  1. GondwanaMan / Mar 6 2020 7:45 AM

    Yo Jayman, you can call me G-Man and im your number one stan!

    I applogize for the silliness above but thanks for your work. ive been telling all of my skeptical, non-believing friends that this will be a lot worse than we think. my number one concern is college towns. i am currently located in one in the American South with a semi-large Chinese population. do you predict a large number of deaths and chaos here in the coming weeks if the government response doesn’t improve, and assuming school continues operation as usual?

    • JayMan / Mar 6 2020 8:26 AM

      Yes, all that. It can still be avoided now but in a few weeks it’ll be too late.

  2. Nikolai Vladivostok / Mar 6 2020 5:02 PM

    Reports like this indicate US medical authorities are not taking it seriously:

    http://raconteurreport.blogspot.com/2020/03/welcome.html?m=1

    Meanwhile in Japan, they let some of their own citizens from the Diamond Princess go home on the train.

    It’s extremely contagious, as demonstated by the one woman who spread it in South Korea.

    There will be a pandemic. Governments just seem to be trying to slow it down a bit.

  3. David / May 27 2020 7:42 PM

    You should have said “millions could die” or “millions are likely to die” in the coming weeks ormonths, not that they will. It always bothers me when people act like they know with CERTAINTY that it will only be x deaths, or that it will surely be atleast x deaths or many more.

    • JayMan / May 27 2020 7:49 PM

      Re-read the first paragraph, slowly.

    • David Robles / Jun 6 2020 8:12 PM

      “Millions of people are about to die in the coming weeks and months, protracted and painful deaths, unless the government steps up and acts NOW.

      This is not hyperbole. I’m not exaggerating. Left unchecked, that will be the outcome of the COVID19 coronavirus pandemic in the U.S.” The government absolutely did not “step up and act NOW”, unless you have a rather generous definition of “NOW”. Even if the government had done literally nothing there is no way there would have been millions of deaths in the coming weeks, or months even, in America, or probably even the world. It turns out the behavior of a countries populace is a much better prediction of how bad covid will be than government policy, or accidents of geography and world travel patterns. See for example Japan.

    • JayMan / Jun 6 2020 8:14 PM

      Even if the government had done literally nothing there is no way there would have been millions of deaths in the coming weeks, or months even, in America, or probably even the world. It turns out the behavior of a countries populace is a much better prediction of how bad covid will be than government policy, or accidents of geography and world travel patterns. See for example Japan.

      The U.S. isn’t Japan.

      One million U.S. SARS 2 deaths aren’t off the table once this is all done.

  4. Passerby / Aug 28 2020 2:06 AM

    I don’t have anything substantive to add, just that I agree with you and I wish the US government had handled this far better. Politicizing the pandemic was a terrible choice, second only to the government-sponsored anti-mask propaganda. I live in the middle of one of the biggest hot zones right now, and people here still don’t take it seriously.

  5. gmmay70 / Sep 14 2020 5:07 PM

    Judging by the hysteria exhibited in the original post, and how the situation played out, there’s no wonder this blog has gone silent.

    Credibility, once lost, is near impossible to regain.

    • JayMan / Sep 15 2020 2:10 PM

    • vromstroen / Nov 24 2021 6:14 PM

      This seems to be a hindsight fallacy. At the time there was no way to know how dangerous the virus was. You had half the “experts” denying there was a virus at all, and the other half admitting they had no idea what the hell was happening, but it seemed bad.

      We can be thankful things turned out the way they did, but criticizing people who were putting the word out weeks and months ahead of time, even if it was an exaggerated word is a bit silly.

    • JayMan / Nov 24 2021 6:18 PM

      As it turned out the post wasn’t exaggerated at all.

  6. Patrick Fulton / Feb 28 2021 5:00 AM

    Remember when the blog was about Italian incompetence, Chinese lack of human rights and Russian corruption? Now we actually have an important and non-isolated case study.

    • JayMan / Feb 28 2021 5:20 AM

      The blog was never “about” those things, but yes NW Euro-derived countries generally don’t come out looking too good thanks to this plague, a few like Australia, New Zealand, Norway, etc notwithstanding.

  7. Danny Hightower / Apr 11 2022 8:53 PM

    “In Hindsight it wasn’t exaggerated at all”

    Only if you conveniently change the post to edit “weeks and months” to “years and decades”. Let’s see what you wrote.

    “Millions of people are about to die in the coming weeks and months, protracted and painful deaths, unless the government steps up and acts NOW.”

    There were not multiple millions who died in the coming weeks and months, 2 years later we’ve hit one million, not millions. You can’t just pretend that weeks and months are the same thing as years and declare victory. Or that Millions are one million.

    • JayMan / Apr 11 2022 9:41 PM

      There were not multiple millions who died in the coming weeks and months

      Reading comprehension is a very important skill. Let’s review:

      Millions of people are about to die in the coming weeks and months, protracted and painful deaths, unless the government steps up and acts NOW.

      The government acted. Then we got vaccines. About a million lives were saved in the U.S.

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